Paul Ryan y Florida

Chicago cree que la selección de Paul Ryan abre una nueva oportunidad para Obama en la conservadora Florida porque hay un porcentaje inusualmente alto de beneficiarios del Medicare (aunque se supone que los cambios que proponen Romney-Ryan son para los menores de 55 años), pero los nuevos números de Survey USA parece que contradicen esa teoría:

17% of registered voters in the state of Florida say they will change who they will vote for in the election for President as a result of Mitt Romney's selection of Paul Ryan as Vice President, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted statewide for WFLA-TV in Tampa.

Of those who will change their vote, 57% say they are more likely to vote for Romney, 42% say they are less likely to vote for Romney. The state of Florida is one of the most important swing-states in the country. Florida's 29 electoral votes are critical to Romney.

Reaction to the Ryan pick breaks along party lines. 82% of Republicans, 91% of Tea Party members, and 86% of conservatives say the selection of Ryan is excellent or good. 57% of Democrats and 51% of liberals say the Ryan selection is bad or very bad.

Probablemente muchos no han oído hablar de Paul Ryan y empezarán a hacerlo en las próximas semanas. Viendo el contexto, que el GOP apostase por Florida para albergar su convención (4 días de propaganda gratuita en los medios locales y conexión directa con el votante) parece ahora más que nunca un enorme acierto.